How to identify fake followers on Telegram channels? Tools to help you spot fake million-member Telegram channels, and check the real traffic of TON memes/chain games.

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How to identify fake followers on Telegram channels? Tools to help you spot fake million-member Telegram channels, and check the real traffic of TON memes/chain games.

Telegram, with its claimed 950 million global users and the introduction of the TON blockchain, has seen the development of an "international version of WeChat mini-programs" flourishing. In the cryptocurrency community, many have engaged in the "Tap to Earn" click-to-earn games and meme coin communities within Telegram. Interestingly, the Telegram communities for these projects often reach millions of members, far surpassing their presence on Twitter. Is Telegram truly a hidden gem or just filled with fake followers?

Let's explore the truth behind Telegram through its tools!

Table of Contents

Telemetrio, a Tool to Identify Fake Followers: Exposing Artificial Subscription Behavior in Telegram Channels

Searching for "@telemetr_io_bot" on Telegram will lead you to a bot that provides statistics for Telegram channels. It claims to be from the data analysis company Telemetr based in Ukraine. By using the command "/channelstat," you can search for the Telegram channel you wish to examine, or visit the official website directly.

Suspicious Increase in Subscription Numbers: Is this Buying Fake Followers?

Looking at this channel tagged as the most interactive user area in China, the subscriber count was 76,786 at the time of writing.

Telemetr's analysis of the subscription growth curve reveals that within the past 30 days, the daily number of subscribers to this channel has mostly remained stable. However, there was a sudden surge of 48,335 subscribers on 7/30, causing a significant fluctuation that appears unnatural.

Other data indicates that the channel had around 1401 views in the past 24 hours, 1589 views in the past 48 hours, and an Engagement Rate of 2.61%.

A closer look at the detailed data shows that the channel's historical subscriber growth has not exceeded double digits daily. However, a sudden increase of 48,335 subscribers on 7/30, followed by another 760 on 7/31, totaling 49,095 in two days, is highly unusual. Anticipating further unnatural growth to reach fifty thousand, it is more likely indicative of buying followers behavior.

Evaluating TON Popular Memes and Chain Game Results

NOTCOIN Community

The Notcoin channel, with 12 million subscribers, has 1.7 million Twitter followers. It gained 210,000 subscribers in the past 24 hours, 3.45 million in the past 7 days, and a total of 3.94 million subscribers in the last 30 days. The Engagement Rate is impressive at 26.89%, with 2.19 million post views in the past 24 hours. The most interactive user area is determined to be Russia.

Examining the subscriber count trend over the past month shows a sudden increase, starting from below 9 million subscribers at the end of July and reaching 12 million in a few days, following a more stable growth in July.

A closer look at the daily growth data reveals fluctuations in the project's growth, with several days showing an increase of hundreds of thousands. However, there is no significant price increase in NOTCoin within the specified timeframe, showing a downward trend, and no major announcement that would explain a significant influx to the community.

Hamster Kombat

The announcement channel of Hamster Kombat has 53 million subscribers, with 12.4 million Twitter followers. It lost 36,478 subscribers in the past 24 hours, 294,717 in the past 7 days, and gained a significant 4.43 million subscribers in the last 30 days. The post views in the past 24 hours were 8.97 million, with an exceptionally high Engagement Rate of 64.94%. Despite the high interaction, it appears relatively natural, with no specific region identified as the most interactive user area.

The subscriber count increase over the past month has been relatively stable. While there have been fluctuations around the million level, the chart does not show significant deviations.

Examining the daily growth data reveals fluctuating growth trends, with most days showing changes in the tens of thousands, indicating that the community may no longer be growing rapidly.

Catizen

The popular Catizen channel currently has 5.25 million subscribers, with 2 million Twitter followers. It gained 3,515 subscribers in the past 24 hours, 145,142 in the past 7 days, and 620,000 in the last 30 days. The post views in the past 24 hours were 390,000, with an Engagement Rate of 14.96%, which is the lowest among the three examples mentioned. The most interactive user area is determined to be Russia.

Looking at the growth curve over the past 30 days, it shows a gradual increase:

Examining the daily growth data shows varying numbers, mostly in the thousands to tens of thousands, with only a few days showing sudden increases in the tens of thousands:

Comparison with Twitter and Telegram Founders
Telegram SubscribersTwitter FollowersRatio
NOTCOIN Community12 million1.7 million7.05
Hamster Kombat53 million12.4 million4.27
Catizen5.25 million2 million2.6
Telegram Founders6.81 million1.5 million4.54

From the table above, if Telegram possesses an "out-of-circle community" that Twitter lacks, based on the Telegram founder's community, which has no motivation to create fake accounts to grab airdrops, we can assume this "out-of-circle" ratio can be amplified by 4.54 times. The ratio is similar for Hamster Kombat, while Catizen is significantly lower than the benchmark value. However, for a Tap to Earn meme coin like the NOTCOIN Community, there is a significant inflation. Looking at the subscription growth curves above, NOTCOIN's curve also appears more unnatural.

Overall, due to the Telegram trend, many "studios" offer services to buy likes, followers, or click rates. When faced with daily reports of community growth data from the media, it is recommended to remain neutral. By using the tools we introduced, you can also identify which communities exhibit more natural growth. Or, in a more professional sense, invest in these interactions.